Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.005130 0.005415 0.005709 0.006036 0.006390 0.006763 0.007187
2025-12-07 0.004591 0.005000 0.005441 0.005956 0.006543 0.007194 0.007977
2025-12-14 0.004288 0.004768 0.005302 0.005945 0.006705 0.007582 0.008681
2025-12-21 0.003955 0.004463 0.005041 0.005755 0.006621 0.007650 0.008984
2025-12-28 0.003791 0.004337 0.004972 0.005773 0.006769 0.007988 0.009620
2026-01-04 0.003679 0.004262 0.004951 0.005839 0.006972 0.008394 0.010361
2026-01-11 0.003529 0.004130 0.004851 0.005797 0.007026 0.008607 0.010855
2026-01-18 0.003411 0.004029 0.004782 0.005785 0.007114 0.008862 0.011415
2026-01-25 0.003287 0.003915 0.004689 0.005735 0.007145 0.009036 0.011867
2026-02-01 0.003245 0.003901 0.004721 0.005846 0.007394 0.009519 0.012794
2026-02-08 0.003151 0.003815 0.004655 0.005823 0.007454 0.009736 0.013341
2026-02-15 0.003073 0.003747 0.004609 0.005821 0.007543 0.009996 0.013966
2026-02-22 0.002964 0.003635 0.004500 0.005731 0.007502 0.010067 0.014305
2026-03-01 0.002867 0.003536 0.004406 0.005657 0.007480 0.010163 0.014691
2026-03-08 0.002800 0.003475 0.004360 0.005647 0.007549 0.010398 0.015321
2026-03-15 0.002677 0.003334 0.004201 0.005470 0.007361 0.010224 0.015244
2026-03-22 0.002630 0.003294 0.004178 0.005486 0.007463 0.010510 0.015978
2026-03-29 0.002600 0.003277 0.004187 0.005549 0.007637 0.010918 0.016965
2026-04-05 0.002539 0.003214 0.004128 0.005509 0.007650 0.011063 0.017482
2026-04-12 0.002490 0.003167 0.004090 0.005498 0.007706 0.011281 0.018156
2026-04-19 0.002432 0.003106 0.004031 0.005451 0.007704 0.011399 0.018642
2026-04-26 0.002423 0.003113 0.004069 0.005555 0.007947 0.011952 0.020039
2026-05-03 0.002377 0.003067 0.004027 0.005533 0.007983 0.012143 0.020721